“Gold posts a marginal gain in ultra-light trading in the absence of the US market”.
Indications only | Closing prices are bids | Prices & Charts : Trading View | Market Research Refinitiv | See disclaimer below
Thoughts for The Day: Gold posted its low for the day of $1990 in early Asian trading on Thursday then worked its way gradually higher on light physical buying to reach $1998 ahead of the European opening. However, the early strength faded in the absence of the US market, that was closed for the Thanksgiving Day holiday, with the price easing back to end with a marginal 0.15% gain at $1993. The yellow metal has traded narrowly between $1992 and $1995 and, with many players extending the holiday into a second day, we expert a low-key end to the week with a projected trading range of $1985 to $2000. Silver also posted a narrow trading range yesterday before ending up 0.25%, however the PGM’S suffered from light profit taking after the recent rallies with platinum falling 0.97% to $918 and palladium 1.13% to $1052.
Market Commentary: November 24, 2023, (source Reuters)
- Gold held steady on Friday, set for its second consecutive weekly gain, supported by a weaker U.S. dollar as markets grew confident that the Federal Reserve was done with its interest rate hikes. Spot gold held ground at $1,992.46 per ounce, as of 0205 GMT. Bullion has risen 0.7% this week. U.S. gold futures were little changed at $1,993.40.
- “The theme in financial markets over the past week has been falling yields and a falling U.S. dollar, and… (these) are conducive for gold to move higher,” said KCM Trade chief market analyst Tim Waterer. The dollar index DXY slipped 0.2% against its rivals and was on track for a second weekly drop, making gold less expensive for other currency holders. The benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields edged up to 4.4568%.
- Markets have dialled back expectations of Fed rate cuts in 2024 after data showed number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell more than expected last week. However, the stronger than expected jobs data did not change the view that the labor market is slowing in the U.S. amid higher rates.
- Earlier this week, the Fed minutes showed the central bank would proceed “carefully” and “all participants judged it appropriate to maintain” the current rate setting. Traders widely expect the Fed to leave rates unchanged in December, while pricing in about a 26% chance of a rate cut as early as March, according to CME’s FedWatch Tool.
- “There is that disconnect between market expectations for rates and what the Fed minutes showed and that’s what’s causing some hesitation in the price of gold,” Waterer said. Lower rates decrease the opportunity cost of holding gold.
- Spot silver gained 0.1% to $23.69 per ounce; palladium rose 0.4% to $1,049.55; platinum was flat at $915.57 but was heading for its second weekly rise.
Economic Analysis (Trading Economics):
No US economic reports released on Thursday due to US Thanksgiving Day holiday.
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